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Transform bold ideas into bulletproof business cases. AI-powered strategic planning with rigorous financial modeling—so you can stop guessing and start leading.

Strategy Advisor
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What's the probability this initiative exceeds 20% IRR?
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Based on Monte Carlo analysis (10,000 simulations), there's a 73.2% probability of exceeding 20% IRR. The P50 scenario shows 24.8% IRR.
What are the key risk factors driving variance?
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Sensitivity analysis shows market adoption rate (38% contribution) and unit economics (27% contribution) are your highest-impact variables. Consider scenario planning for these.
Run a stress test with 20% lower adoption.
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Stress test complete: At 20% lower adoption, IRR drops to 14.3% with 42% probability of meeting hurdle rate. Recommend building contingency for delayed payback.
Should we defer this investment given market uncertainty?
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Real options analysis suggests the value of waiting is $2.4M. However, first-mover advantage erosion of $3.1M/year means immediate investment maximizes value.
What if we phase the investment over 18 months?
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Phased approach yields option value of $4.1M with embedded abandonment option. Stage gates at months 6 and 12 reduce downside by 34%.
Compare NPV of immediate vs phased deployment.
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Immediate: NPV $12.8M, risk-adjusted $9.2M. Phased: NPV $11.4M, risk-adjusted $10.1M. Phased wins on risk-adjusted basis despite lower headline NPV.
Generate scenarios for market expansion into APAC.
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Created 3 scenarios: Bull case (35% market share, $48M revenue), Base case (22% share, $31M), Bear case (12% share, $18M). Probability-weighted NPV: $24.6M.
What regulatory risks should we model?
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Key regulatory variables: data localization (impacts 15% of costs), local partnership requirements (affects 23% of margin), and licensing delays (6-18 month range modeled).
Create executive summary for board presentation.
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Executive summary generated: 2-page brief covering strategic rationale, financial projections, risk mitigation, and recommendation. Ready for download with supporting appendices.
Calculate the break-even point for this SaaS initiative.
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Break-even analysis: Fixed costs $2.1M, variable margin 72%. Break-even at 4,167 subscribers ($3.5M ARR). At current growth rate, achievable in month 14.
How does customer churn impact unit economics?
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At 5% monthly churn: LTV $8,400, CAC payback 11 months. Reducing churn to 3% improves LTV to $14,000 and payback to 7 months. High-impact lever.
Model a 15% price increase scenario.
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Price elasticity model shows 15% increase yields 8% volume decline. Net revenue impact: +$4.2M annually. Margin improves from 68% to 74%. Recommend pilot testing.
Rank our 5 initiatives by risk-adjusted return.
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Ranked by Sharpe ratio: 1) Digital transformation (1.42), 2) Market expansion (1.18), 3) Product launch (0.94), 4) M&A target (0.71), 5) Cost optimization (0.65).
We have $50M budget. Optimize allocation.
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Optimal allocation: Digital ($18M), Expansion ($15M), Product ($12M), M&A ($5M reserve). Expected portfolio return 24.3% with 68% confidence interval of 18-31%.
What happens if we defer the M&A opportunity?
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Deferring M&A frees $5M for reallocation. Recommend adding to Digital (+$3M) and Product (+$2M). Portfolio return improves to 26.1% with lower variance.
10,000 Simulations
Real Options
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Value the option to defer, expand, or abandon. Make investment timing decisions with academic rigor.

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